At COP28, the fifth and final text of the Global Stocktake made a long overdue concession – finally including language that acknowledges the need to transition away from fossil fuels. While this marks a collective win for and by climate-vulnerable nations and the climate movement, it doesn’t go nearly as far as it needs to. With no mention yet of how the transition will be funded fairly, once again, the climate movement leaves the COP with only small flickers of hope, instead of the path-lighting beacon that’s long overdue.
“People power has propelled us to the doorstep of history but leaders have stopped short of entering the future we need.” said May Boeve, Executive Director of 350.org, “It is frustrating that thirty years of campaigning managed to get ‘transition away from fossil fuels’ in the COP text, but it is surrounded by so many loopholes that it has been rendered weak and ineffectual. The prize is finally on the table – a phaseout of fossil fuels and a world powered by renewable energy – but rather than clearing the way to it, we’ve been presented with yet another set of distracting doors that could still hold oil and gas expansion, and we don’t know just where the finance will come from.”
“The change we have seen in negotiators’ stance is a weak but welcome nod to the communities who have spoken loud and clear over the past few weeks: from Jakarta to New Orleans, Rio de Janeiro to Lamu – 350.org’s community organised campaigns have shown that we are ready to Power Up our own future,” continued May Boeve, “The energy revolution is already underway, as we stand by to build Our Own Power [ourownpower.org]. We hoped this COP would bring international governments to the same building site, and for wealthy nations like Australia, Canada, the EU, the UK and the US to pay their fair share and support the most vulnerable countries to transition to a 100% renewable future. That would be leadership to match what we’ve witnessed from the small island states, from our Pacific Climate Warriors, and from the youth movement. That is when we can call this a win.”
Powering up renewable energy capacity by 2030 was a key objective from the outset of COP28 and one that 350.org outlined as vital in the landmark report Power Up for Climate Justice: Financing and Implementing a 1.5C-Aligned Global Renewable Energy Target. Both the renewables target and a fossil fuel phase-out are essential for ensuring a sustainable future. COP28 has made some strides in the right direction, setting support for tripling clean energy by 2030 and doubling energy efficiency in concrete recognition of the plummeting costs of renewables. Now, these targets must be backed up with quantifiable timelines and equitable finance, particularly for the Global South.
The Pacific nations and small island states showed up as always, fighting for solutions, and were in no small measure responsible for COP28’s relative success in the fight against fossil fuels. A clear pathway, bolstered by a legal framework and timeline for implementation, was not part of the final outcome; despite small island states holding the line for a full, fast and fair fossil fuel phaseout, unprecedented support from Latin America, Europe, Australia and some African nations, and support from over 120 countries for a robust renewables deal. Rather than consider the concerns of climate-vulnerable nations, the end result uses weak language, is vague on timelines, has few finance commitments, and continues to tilt in favour of major emitters.
May Boeve, Executive Director of 350.org, says:
“People’s power has propelled us to the doorstep of history, but leaders have stopped short of entering the future we need. It is frustrating that thirty years of campaigning managed to get ‘transition from fossil fuels’ in the COP text, but it is surrounded by so many loopholes that it has been rendered weak and ineffectual. The prize is finally on the table – a phaseout of fossil fuels and a world powered by renewable energy – but rather than clearing the way to it, we’ve been presented with yet another set of distracting doors that could still hold oil and gas expansion, and we don’t know just where the finance will come from.
The change we have seen in negotiators’ stance is a weak but welcome nod to the communities who have spoken loud and clear over the past few weeks: from Jakarta to New Orleans, Rio de Janeiro to Lamu – 350.org’s community organised campaigns have shown that we are ready to Power Up our own future. The energy revolution is already underway as we stand by to build Our Own Power [ourownpower.org]. We hoped this COP would bring international governments to the same building site and for wealthy nations like Australia, Canada, the EU, the UK and the US to pay their fair share and support the most vulnerable countries to transition to a 100% renewable future. That would be leadership to match what we’ve witnessed from the AOSIS states, from our Pacific Climate Warriors, and from the youth movement. That is when we can call this a win.
We continue to hold the line with change-makers around the world: in the streets where we march to demand climate justice; in the fields and forests where we block fossil fuel expansion; in renewable energy cooperatives where we’re creating the future; and in the communities where we nurture care, resilience and change.”
Landry Ninteretse, Regional Director, 350Africa.org says:“Our expectation was that COP 28 would, at the very least, demonstrate commitment to course correcting and charting a path to a complete phase out of all fossil fuels, a sustainable future built on renewables, ambitious adaptation finance and clear technology transfer commitments by rich nations. The support for the tripling of renewable energy, has ignited optimism and energized communities that have been putting their own power behind the call to power up renewables. However the process failed to deliver on the commitment to a full, fast and fair phase out of fossil fuels and was lacking in the climate finance to support adaptation and mitigation in the most climate vulnerable nations. To truly deliver climate justice, the biggest polluters must lead on the phaseout and commit to supporting the deployment of renewable energy in Africa”.
Joseph Sikulu, Pacific Managing Director at 350.org, says:“While the outcome speaks to transitioning away from fossil fuels and towards renewable energy, change continues to be incremental, not transformational. COP28 promised us a historic achievement, and what we have received is a weak outcome, with several of our red lines for survival being crossed. Our islands deserve more than weak; we deserve concrete actions to stay below 1.5 degrees and the resources to adapt and transition our developing economies.While it does acknowledge the root cause of the climate crisis – fossil fuels – it again fails to phase out coal, oil and gas. While it does acknowledge the need to triple renewable energy, it fails to set a clear quantitative goal. It is not enough for us to reference the science and then make agreements that ignore what the science is telling us we need to do. We will not let the future of the Pacific fall through loopholes like “abatement” and “transitional fuels”, and we will hold countries like Australia accountable, who continue to delay a true phaseout with dangerous distractions. Every year, we travel across oceans to come to these negotiations and fight tooth and nail to keep 1.5 alive, and it is clear that climate-vulnerable countries and frontline communities are the ones doing the heavy lifting.We continue to hold the line with change-makers around the world: in the streets where we march to demand climate justice; in the fields and forests where we block fossil fuel expansion; in renewable energy cooperatives where we’re creating the future; and in the communities where we nurture care, resilience and change.”
Peri Dias, Latin America Representative at COP28:“This year, we were outnumbered by fossil fuel lobbyists. At COP30, Indigenous people, those on the frontline and anyone contributing to climate justice must outnumber fossil fuel lobbyists and blockers. We urge the Brazilian government to start working on an ambitious process that puts people at the centre of the climate talks. Now, we have two years to make a difference – if the COP process is to deliver something meaningful, this is the last opportunity.The climate movement has shown its power by achieving the inclusion of the transition away from fossil fuels in the text, albeit 30 years overdue, but we have much more to achieve in the next two years, especially in relation to financing the energy transition, adaptation measures and compensation for Loss and Damage, which are a matter of life and death for regions like Latin America. Traditional communities and the most vulnerable populations will demand climate justice even more fiercely in the next two years to ensure that we have at COP30, in Brazil, the culmination of the urgent advances in these areas”.
Agnes Hall, Global Campaigns Director at 350.org, says:“There were at least 2,456 fossil fuel lobbyists at this COP. Yet, they could not stop the end of the fossil fuel era. They’ve managed to sneak in loopholes to derail the climate talks once again, but their massive presence tells another story: they are scared because they know their time is over. They are pouring all their resources and all their power into a last all-in effort to try and save their business model one last time.The fossil fuel industry was represented up to the level of the COP28 presidency. While Dr Sultan Al Jaber has sent mixed messages on fossil fuel phaseout throughout the negotiations, this final outcome is not the historic deal he promised. There are many leaders accountable for this, and they shall be held to account. The French Government invited Patrick Pouyanné (CEO of TotalEnergies) to be part of the French delegation. They gave him access to the climate talks and let him actively work against our collective interest for the sake of saving TotalEnergies’ blood oil, blood gas and blood profits.We are calling on the UNFCCC and future COP presidency to implement a conflict of interest policy and ban fossil fuel lobbyists from the climate talks, just like the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control bans representatives from the tobacco industry.”
Andreas Sieber, Associate Director of Policy and Campaigns at 350.org, says:“This text is a step forward on our path towards phasing out fossil fuels, but is not the historic decision we were promised. Despite the record number of fossil fuel lobbyists in attendance, and a COP president who is the CEO of an oil company, civil society and more than 100 countries have won an agreement to rapidly move away from fossil fuels this decade. But given the overwhelming momentum among countries in support of a renewable energy package and a long overdue fossil fuel phase out, we needed a far more ambitious result.”
JL Andrepont, US Policy Lead at 350.org, says:“Let’s be clear: this drafted text is an improvement and includes some key commitments, but the bar was low. And we know that we can only keep our climate goals within reach and will only be standing with the frontlines of the climate crisis, like small island nations, if we begin a fast, fair, full phaseout. It is past time for the US to take real responsibility for its role in the climate crisis, and the fight continues.”
Masayoshi Iyoda, Japan Campaigner, 350.org says:“While the agreement at COP28 of tripling renewable energy and doubling energy efficiency is encouraging for climate activists in Japan, it gives homework to fossil-addicted nations including Japan to accelerate a fair and fast transition away from all fossil fuels by 2030. The COP decision leaves some room for dangerous distractions such as nuclear, CCS, and transition fuels that could prolong the lifetime of fossil fuel infrastructure. Still, people power will never be defeated by such delay tactics. The science is clear enough. Japan must contribute to the 1.5 goal by committing to the phaseout of all fossil fuels in its national ‘Basic Energy Plan’ and provide support for community-led renewable energy in Japan, the Asia region, and everywhere in the world.”
Lisa Rose, Associate Director, 350.org Europe, says:“COP28 will be remembered as the first COP to finally include a transition away from fossil fuels in its outcomes. But ultimately, COP28 has failed to deliver on the full, fast, fair and funded fossil fuel phaseout the world needs. The EU claims to be a climate leader, but it now needs to walk the talk – EU Commissioner of Climate Action Wopke Hoekstra must push for a real phase-out of all fossil fuels, and European countries and institutions must drastically step up their financial support to vulnerable countries.”
Norly Mercado, Asia Regional Director at 350.org, says:“Asia, a region that is home to communities bearing the brunt of climate impacts and who have contributed the least to the climate crisis, needed COP28 to conclude with a robust outcome on climate finance. This updated text – in particular the acknowledgement that we need to leave fossil fuels behind – is an improvement that is thanks to the tireless work of the climate movement. However, COP28 could have gone much further to rapidly usher in a fossil-free, renewable powered world with the urgency we need. It needed strong signals to deliver rapid, equitable finance to facilitate a just transition in the Global South and keep global heating under 1.5 degrees – on this front, it has not succeeded.”
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Media Contacts:
Global: Kim Bryan / kim.bryan@350.org / +44 7770881503
Africa: Christine Mbithi/christine.mbithi@350.org/+254725906695